Editorial Type:
Article Category: Research Article
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Online Publication Date: 18 Dec 2014

Trends in the Minimum Temperature and Number of Frost Events in the North-Eastern Badia of Jordan during the Period 1980–2010

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Page Range: 333 – 348
DOI: 10.5555/arwg.16.4.x6544r31761q2760
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The aims of this study are to examine and clarify the general trends in minimum temperature, number of frost days, and severity of frost in the north-eastern Badia region of Jordan between 1980 and 2010. Representative meteorological stations were selected to analyze the climatic factors in the study area, using statistical analysis approaches such as CUSUM charts, moving averages, linear regression, and t-tests. Linear regression trends showed a slight increase in minimum temperature in both locations during the study period. The t-tests show increases in the average values of the tested climatic variables, with a significant trend for Safawi station at the 95 % confidence level. The study also found a remarkable decrease in the number of frost days and an increase in the severity of frost at both stations, but these findings are not statistically significant at the 95 % confidence level.

Les objectifs de cette étude visent à examiner et à clarifier les tendances générales de la température minimale, du nombre de jours de gel, et de l’intensité du gel dans la région de la Badia dans le nord-est de la Jordanie entre 1980 et 2010. Les stations météorologiques représentatives ont été sélectionnées pour analyser les facteurs climatiques dans la zone d’étude, en utilisant des approches d’analyse statistique telles que les graphiques CUSUM, les moyennes mobiles, les régressions linéaires et les tests t. Pour la période sous étude, les régressions linéaires ont montré une légère augmentation de la température minimale dans les deux stations représentatives. Les tests-t montrent une augmentation des valeurs moyennes des variables climatiques testées, avec une tendance significative pour la station Safawi avec un niveau de confiance de 95%. L’étude a également constaté une diminution remarquable du nombre de jours de gel et une augmentation de l’intensité du gel dans les deux stations, mais ces résultats ne sont pas statistiquement significatifs au niveau de confiance de 95%.

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